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Important legal information The information in this document is given for information purposes only and does not qualify as investment advice. Opinions and assessments contained in this document may change and reflect the point of view of GAM in the current economic environment.
No liability shall be accepted for the accuracy and completeness of the information. Past performance is no indicator for the current or future development.
The companies listed were selected from the universe of companies covered by the portfolio managers to assist the reader in better understanding the themes presented.
The companies included are not necessarily held by any portfolio or represent any recommendations by the portfolio managers.
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Amy Kam Investment Manager. Related Articles European financials: reaching an inflection point. Why the US election may not matter for investors.
All Funds. In response, Britain sent its own diplomatic missions in , with military advisers, to Persia and Afghanistan under the capable Mountstuart Elphinstone , averting the French and possible Russian threat.
However, Britain was left with concerns about being able to defend India. The expedition was funded by the East India Company and was to map and research the regions of "Beloochistan" Balochistan and Persia because of concerns about India's being invaded by French forces from that direction.
Following the Treaty of Turkmenchay and the Treaty of Adrianople , Britain feared that Persia and Turkey would become protectorates of Russia. This would change Britain's perception of the world, and its response was The Great Game.
Britain had no intention of getting involved in the Middle East, but it did envision a series of buffer states between the British and Russian Empires that included Turkey, Persia, plus the Khanate of Khiva and the Khanate of Bukhara that would grow from future trade.
Behind these buffer states would be their protected states stretching from the Persian Gulf to India and up into the Emirate of Afghanistan , with British sea-power protecting trade sea-lanes.
Access to Afghanistan was to be through developing trade routes along the Indus and Sutlej rivers using steam-powered boats, and therefore access through the Sind and Punjab regions would be required.
Persia would have to give up its claim on Herat in Afghanistan. Afghanistan would need to be transformed from a group of warring principalities into one state ruled by an ally whose foreign relations would be conducted on his behalf by the Governor-General and the Foreign Office.
The Great Game meant closer ties between Britain and the states along her northwest frontier. Britain believed that it was the world's first free society and the most industrially advanced country, and therefore that it had a duty to use its iron, steam power, and cotton goods to take over Central Asia and develop it.
British goods were to be followed by British values and the respect for private property. With pay for work and security in place, nomads would settle and become tribal herdsman surrounding oasis cities.
These were to develop into modern states with agreed borders, as in the European model. Therefore, lines needed to be agreed and drawn on maps.
Here we are, just as we were, snarling at each other, hating each other, but neither wishing for war. Russia had an interest in establishing a trade route from Moscow to India.
From then until the midth century, Russian ambassadors to the region spent much of their time trying to free Russians who had been taken as slaves by the khanates.
This eastward expansion was of no concern to the British Foreign Office because this area did not lie across any British trade routes or destinations, and therefore was of no interest to Britain.
This advance would not cease until Russia's frontiers and her sphere of influence were firm in the Central Asia, and this would include Bokhara and Khiva.
Between and , Russia occupied the entire Kazakh Khanate modern-day Kazakhstan. This raised Russo-Khivan tensions in addition to Khiva's legal discrimination of Russian merchants who were just beginning to penetrate Central Asia, and the ongoing issue of Russian slaves.
Russia launched an attack in —40 but it failed to reach Khiva because of the tough terrain and weather. However, the khan of Khiva feared a further Russian assault and released a number of Russian slaves.
During the s and s, Russia's aims in Central Asia were for Bukhara and Khiva to refrain from hostile actions against Russia, cease possession of Russian slaves and the granting of asylum to Kazakhs fleeing from Russian justice.
Khiva must cease her attacks on caravans along the Syr Darya. Russian merchants must be allowed to trade on the same terms as native merchants in Bukhara and Khiva.
The khanates must guarantee the safety of the persons and property of Russian merchants, levy no excessive duties, permit unhampered transit of goods and caravans across Central Asia into neighboring states and allow Russian commercial agents to reside in Bukhara and Khiva, and free navigation on the Amu Darya river for Russian ships.
None of these aims was realised. In , when Clarendon proposed the Amu Darya river as the basis for a neutral zone between British and Russian spheres of influence, Alexander Gorchakov proposed Afghanistan as the neutral zone.
His detailed description of the journey was published in William Moorcroft was an explorer, doctor, veterinary surgeon, and Superintendent of the East India Company's horse stud.
He had an interest in expanding trade in Central Asia, where he thought the Russian traders were already active. However, all three died of fever on the return journey.
Petersburg, Russia to the Caspian desert, to Kir northern Iran , was detained in Astrabad northern Iran as a Russian spy, then travelled with a caravan of pilgrims to Meshed , marched with the Afghan army from there to Herat, then traveled to Kandahar, to Quetta, then across the Indian desert to the British frontier in January He published his travels in Burnes, a Christian travelling through a Muslim country was one of the first to study Afghanistan for British Intelligence and upon his return, he published his book, Travels To Bukhara ,  which became an overnight success in Between and , Britain attempted to negotiate trade agreements with Ranjit Singh , ruler of the Sikh empire , and the Amirs of Sindh.
However, these attempts were unsuccessful. In , Lord Auckland was appointed Governor-General, and replaced Bentinck who had pursued a non-intervention policy.
The India Board instructed Auckland:. The mode of dealing with this very important question, whether by dispatching a confidential agent to Dost Mohammed of Kabul merely to watch the progress of events, or to enter into relations with this Chief, either of a political or merely in the first instance of a commercial character, we confide in your discretion as well as the adoption of any other measures that may appear to you desirable to counteract Russian influence in that quarter, should you be satisfied Such an interference would doubtless be requisite, either to prevent the extension of Persian dominion in that quarter or to raise a timely barrier against the impending encroachments of Russian influence.
In that year, Lieutenant John Wood of the Indian Navy commanded the first steamboat to paddle up the Indus River and surveyed the river as he went.
In , he led an expedition that found one of the River Oxus' sources in central Asia. While in Kabul, he dined with the British envoy, Captain Alexander Burnes, who reported negatively on Russia's intentions.
Nasrullah Khan had Stoddart imprisoned in a vermin-infested dungeon because he had not bowed nor brought gifts. In , Captain Arthur Conolly arrived to try to secure Stoddart's release.
He was also imprisoned and on 17 June both men were beheaded. On hearing of the execution of the two British officers, Emperor Nicholas I of Russia would no longer receive Bukhara's gifts or emissaries, and its ambassador was turned back at Orenburg with a message that the Emperor would no longer have anything to do with the Emir of Bukhara.
During , there were rumors in London of a coming Russian move towards Khiva. Additionally, Persia intended to annex Herat to make up for territory it had lost in the Russo-Persian War —28 , however the allegiance of Herat to Afghanistan was crucial to the British strategy.
His intention was to take Herat then move on to Kandahar. Eldred Pottinger , an officer of the Bengal Artillery, who had earlier entered Herat in disguise, stiffened the defences and despite the presence of Russian advisers the siege lasted eight months.
British influence was to be extended into Afghanistan and it was to become a buffer state. The intention to invade was clear, and when a copy of the Manifesto reached London there was no objection.
In December, the British marched into Afghanistan and arrested Dost Mohammad, sent him into exile in India and replaced him with the previous ruler, Shah Shuja , who shared their more progressive vision for the people of the region.
In the same year he was deposed and imprisoned by his half-brother. By January , the Afghans were in full revolt.
With a weakening of military discipline, the British decided to withdraw from Kabul. The Kabul garrison of 4, troops and 12, camp followers left Kabul for Jalalabad that was 80 miles and 5 days march away.
They were attacked by 30, Afghans. Over one hundred of the British and 2, sepoys and camp followers were taken hostage and the rest killed.
So perished the "Army of the Indus". I have been struck by the magnitude of your resources, your ships, your arsenals, but what I cannot understand is why the rulers of so vast and flourishing an empire should have gone across the Indus to deprive me of my poor and barren country.
In , acting Captain James Abbott of the Bengal Artillery undertook a mission to the Khanate of Khiva in an attempt to negotiate the release of Russian slaves that would deny the Russians a pretext for invading Khiva.
If war had already broken out, Abbot was instructed to attempt to negotiate a settlement. Of the 5, men who had left Orenburg, only 4, returned.
Abbott set off from Khiva in towards Russia to commence negotiations, which he did on his own initiative and it was not authorised by his superiors.
His caravan was attacked by Khazakhs and he was wounded in the hand and taken hostage, however he and his party were released because they feared retribution.
He reached Saint Petersburg but the attempt at mediation failed. His bravery was recognized through promotion to full Captain. In , Britain annexed the Sind.
Following the Indian Rebellion of , the East India Company's remaining powers were transferred to the British Crown  in the person of Queen Victoria who in was proclaimed Empress of India.
As a state, the British Raj functioned as the guardian of a system of connected markets maintained by military power, business legislation and monetary management.
In Sultan Ahmed Khan of Herat, who was placed into power by Persia and issued coinage on behalf of the Shah, attacked the disputed town of Farrah.
Farrah had been under Dost Mohammad Khan's control since , and he responded by sending his army to defeat Herat and reunited it with Afghanistan.
The new and wary Alexander II of Russia waited some years so as not to antagonize the British, then Russia expanded into Central Asia in two campaigns.
In , a circular was sent to the consular officers abroad by Gorchakov, the Russian Chancellor, patiently explaining the reasons for expansion centering on the doctrines of necessity, power and spread of civilisation.
Russia occupied Chimkent in , Tashkent in , Khokhand and Bukhara in , and Samarkand in Russia's influence now extended to outlying regions of Afghan Turkestan.
The second campaign started from the Caspian Sea and was in the direction of Herat, near the Persian frontier. Khiva was occupied in However, no boundary west of the Amu Darya was defined until In , Russia sent an uninvited diplomatic mission to Kabul.
Sher Ali Khan , the Amir of Afghanistan , tried unsuccessfully to keep them from entering Afghanistan. The Amir not only refused to receive a British mission under Neville Bowles Chamberlain but also threatened to stop it if it attempted to enter his country.
Lord Lytton , the Viceroy of British India, ordered a diplomatic mission to set out for Kabul in September but the mission was turned back as it approached the eastern entrance of the Khyber Pass , triggering the Second Anglo—Afghan War.
The Treaty of Gandamak of required that Amir Abdur Rahman Khan had to accept British control of Afghanistan's foreign relations and to cede to the British a number of its southern frontier areas, including the districts of Pishin, Sibi, Harnai, and Thal Chotiali.
In the following years, other tribal areas would be annexed by the British. In , Russian forces took Geok Tepe and in they occupied Merv. In , a Russian force annexed the Panjdeh district north of Herat province and its fort in what has been called the Panjdeh incident.
The Afghans claimed that the people of the district had always paid tribute to Afghanistan, and the Russians argued that this district was part of the Khanates of Khiva and Merv which they had annexed earlier.
The Afghan Boundary Commission was supposed to have settled the dispute, however the battle occurred before its arrival. The Afghan force of was completely overwhelmed by the superior Russian numbers.
Britain did not aid Afghanistan as was required by the Treaty of Gandamak, leading the Amir to believe that he could not rely on the British in the face of Russian aggression.
Germany had no direct stakes, however its dominance of Europe was enhanced when Russian troops were based as far away from Germany as possible.